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Conferences, Presentations & Speaking Engagements

  • Available for public speaking around media transformation and opportunity. Please inquire for schedule and rates.

Press Mentions

  • Marketwatch: Tribune newspaper executives exit
    "What we're seeing is the systematic dismantling of one of the nation's top newspaper companies....The idea of bringing in new blood to the newspaper industry isn't a bad one, because I think in a number of ways it does have old ways of thinking. But when you bring in new blood, those people have to bring in new strategies. Cutting pages and jobs isn't a strategy. It's just a way to cut costs, which all newspaper companies are doing."
  • KCRW: Newspapers in Big Trouble, Should Americans Care
    Appearance on program with L.A. Times editors, others.
  • Reuters: Number of Newspaper Analysts Dwindles
    In the absence of critical analysis from Wall Street, bloggers and industry executives have grown in importance. Outsell Inc's Ken Doctor and Alan Mutter, a venture capitalist and former newspaper editor who runs the blog Reflections of a Newsosaur, are two well-read commentators.
  • Fox Business Network: Bad Times for Newspapers
    “What happens in five years if it looks like more of the recruitment is coming through Yahoo’s Hotjobs,’’ said Outsell’s Doctor. The company may wonder if it can get a better deal going directly to Yahoo and cutting out the middleman, which in this case would be the newspaper. “That’s the huge question in this.” Still Doctor said that given Newspaper companies are skilled at selling advertisements they may be able to prove their worth to the likes of Yahoo by building bigger and better sales forces. “The core strength of a newspaper is its sales staff and its relationship to the advertiser,’’ said Doctor. “If they can keep that relationship it doesn’t matter what they are selling.”
  • Marketwatch: Cablevision to acquire Newsday for $650 million
    "The synergies are real here. If you put together the list of advertising clients Cablevision has with the list of accounts Newsday has -- and the combined contacts the sales teams have -- that's significant."
  • NYT: Cablevision Is Winner of Newsday
    “I’ve been skeptical, but this really is a tremendous opportunity for them,” said Ken Doctor, lead analyst with Outsell. “It’s just awfully hard to pull off.”
  • Bloomberg: McClatchy Plans to Cut 1,400 Jobs, 10% of Workforc
    "This is a permanent downsizing of newspaper companies,'' said Ken Doctor. "They're not using the word `permanent,' but it's a recognition that they will get much smaller as they try to find their way in a digital world."
  • Chicago Reader Blogs: Off a Cliff
    With Rupert Murdoch, who's 77, now predicting he'll outlive the print press has another 20 years or so and Steve Balmer, CEO of Microsoft, giving it maybe ten, the scriveners who populate the nation's despondent newsrooms are willing to concede that -- in the words of industry analyst Ken Doctor -- "It's the end of the world as we know it." All those scriveners -- the ones who know they don't know enough to negotiate a path from this world to the next on their own -- ask at this point is that they be led forward by people who do. Which is why it's so troubling to the hundreds of journalists at the Tribune Company when their new leader sounds like a nincompoop....The following observations about the news-ad ratio owe a big debt to Doctor, who's just addressed the subject on an Editor & Publisher podcast and in his own blog.
  • Bloomberg: GM, Motorola, NY Times Burn Cash Flow, Keep Dividends
    Dividend increases by newspaper companies are ``a core strategy'' to retain shareholders, said Ken Doctor. The Times is cutting 100 jobs this year, or 7.5 percent of its newsroom employees. ``They did that even before cutting their dividend, which I think surprised a lot of people,'' Doctor said.
  • NY Times: Cablevision Is Winner of Newsday
    “I’ve been skeptical, but this really is a tremendous opportunity for them. It’s just awfully hard to pull off.”

What's On My Netvibes

  • Steve Goldstein
    Fellow KR alumnus Steve Goldstein understands the research/info needs of end-use enterprise customers, and he's built a company that is helping satisfy them.
  • Peter Krasilovsky
    Centered on e-commerce of all kinds from Yellow Pages through classifieds and new ad models.
  • Mark Potts
    Mark Potts is an experienced journalist, observer of Internet journalism and an alumnus of the Backfence experiment.
  • John Blossom
    Thoughtful views on a wide-ranging mix of media change.
  • Jay Rosen
    Jay Rosen is a provocateur in the best sense, an NYU journalism professor deeply committed to keeping the press accountable and vibrant in the digital age.
  • David Meerman Scott
    David Scott understands web marketing of digital content. Check out his site and his new book, "Cashing In With Content"
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May 09, 2007

Microsoft Gets Off the Sidewalk and Back into "Local"

There's nothing like having a big brother in Redmond. That may be one of the lessons of today's announcement that Microsoft is picking up a four percent stake in CareerBuilder. The market's been watching CareerBuilder and what moves it would make in light of the Yahoo/newspaper consortium deal. So those newspaper partners took on a big brother in Sunnyvale, and CareerBuilder may feel a bit safer cozying up a bit more to Yahoo's rival (and potential acquirer) to the north. Certainly, four per cent is not much of a stake and only reduces Gannett's and Tribune's stakes a bit, to 40.8%, with McClatchy dropping to 14.4%. But why would Microsoft do it? Certainly, it can pick up seats at Wrigley Field anytime it wants already (and this perk may be gone if Sam Zell does take control of the "New Tribune" and sells off the Cubbies). Could it be that Microsoft would like a little closer seat at the table of "local," doing what it does best -- study, study, study and then act. When I heard today's news I remembered an interview with Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer, from the New York Times in January, with this curious quote about the Microsoft's ahead-of-its-time online city guide service, Sidewalk which it sold off in 1999.

“But Sidewalk was really aimed at what we now call local search,” Mr. Ballmer says. “Sidewalk is one we should not have gotten out of.”

Now recruitment isn't just local, and four percent's not much of a stake. But it could be a small Trojan Horse. For CB's owners, the deal makes a good deal of a sense beyond acquiring a bit of family protection. CB's spent a lot over the years, securing prominence of its listings on MSN. This agreement commits it to pay as much as (performance-based) $443 million through 2013 for that privilege. They'd hope that in addition to their cash, Microsoft is incented to look for every opportunity to push the brand, for instance on mobile as mobile recruitment becomes more used. Beyond, that CB CEO Matt Ferguson's explanation holds water:

"Microsoft's equity stake builds on this successful relationship and establishes a global alliance with one of the world's most ubiquitous technology powerhouses. It enables CareerBuilder to continue to grow faster in the U.S. than any other job site while leveraging a strong international platform to quickly enter new markets in Europe and all over the world."

Three words: equity, technology, global.

CareerBuilder may well need to tap into some new capital sources going forward, for both technology and acquisition of niche job boards, and that gets harder as newspaper company cash flows tighten. Microsoft could well expand its stake, using one of its key assets: cash. Technology is key to the recruitment business, a dynamic one in which matching of jobs and job-fillers will become more efficient given smarter and smarter data mining and matching tools. Global is big when you look at how badly CareerBuilder has lagged Monster outside the U.S. CB is launching new European products and its ability to leverage MSN-related distribution there as well is significant. In fact, look at how "global" is increasingly playing into market moves, as Rupert Murdoch intends to make Dow Jones a truly global business franchise, using his worldwide cable pipes. And then there's this interesting wild card. What happens if Microsoft and Yahoo do really push forward with a strategic partnership, or Yahoo succumbs to Microsoft's charms and becomes a part of the empire? Do all those newspaper classified properties get combined, with the Microsoft brand appearing at top of newspaper pages and websites near you?

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