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Press Mentions

  • Ad Age/Nat Ives: It's Back: 25 MORE Media People You Should Follow on Twitter
    25 media types worth following on Twitter.
  • Ad Age: Why So Many Media Companies Stumble Globally
    The few news brands that have succeeded, to greater or lesser degrees, arguably include CNN, Bloomberg, People, Thomson Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, The Financial Times and The Economist. Other contenders are the Associated Press, the BBC, ABC, NBC, maybe CBS, National Public Radio, News Corp. and the top U.K. dailies, said Ken Doctor, the newspaper veteran who's now an analyst at Outsell. "If a news-media organization sees itself as covering the wider world, sees it as its foundation, that in and of itself differentiates it from all the local media -- newspapers, TV, radio -- out there," he said. "If, in addition, it has substantial reporting and editing resources, then it can play. The tough part is the part we're in: Who wins the race to ubiquity and can make it pay off?"
  • NYT: If The Globe Were Sold, What Price?
    “The best guesstimate of the real price: a buck. The best of an announced price: between $50 and $100 million,” he wrote in an e-mail message. The devil will be in the details of the obligations that a buyer would assume, he said, adding that “a buck essentially represents a gentleman’s agreement: I take a liability, headache and a distraction off your hands.” He said that the Times Company could hang on to some pension liabilities or other obligations in exchange for a higher purchase price, a number that would give the appearance that it was getting something for the more than $1 billion it paid 16 years ago. He added that no bank would be interested in financing a deal given how other deals have blown up, so “the owner’s own money is immediately at risk.”
  • Economist: It isn’t just newspapers: much of the established news industry is being blown away. Yet news is thriving
    Ken Doctor of Outsell, a research firm, reckons that the Kindle appeals to baby-boomers who would otherwise read a paper magazine or newspaper. The young prefer their iPhones and their aggregators. Indeed, the top four magazines on Kindle, according to Amazon’s website, are the New Yorker, Newsweek, Time and Reader’s Digest. Not much of a youth market there.
  • Forbes: San Diego News Shoot-Out
    "The Union-Tribune is cratering. That opens a hole in the market and the opportunity for some unconventional business models."
  • BizTimes.com: Journal Sentinel faces daunting choices
    “There’s no strategy – this is panic. What we’re likely to see this year (around the country) and what we’ll see in Milwaukee too is (publishers asking) how much they need to cut back and how much they can do to still hold their place in the market. For publishers, it’s about ‘How do we stay alive and stay profitable until we can get to some sort of breathing period?’ (Economic) recovery will not bring back their old business, but it will give them some breathing room.”
  • AP: Threat to shut Boston Globe shows no paper is saf
    The threat to close the paper "sends a very clear message to all employees and unions of surviving newspapers — that this is not business as usual. This is uncharted territory....Newspapers all "have a sword over their heads," said Doctor. If the industry wants to survive, he said, "everyone has to give some blood."
  • Guardian: Seattle mourns the last day of its venerable Post Intelligencer
    "There's a lot less reporting happening, on a national scale. For the 1,500 or so daily newspapers, it's just a matter of getting smaller and smaller."
  • Seattle Times: Seattle's oldest newspaper goes to press for the final time
    "They're bringing the full force of their national relationships and content to bear on Seattle. They [Hearst] could sustain this experiment indefinitely. If it makes a million or loses a million, that's nothing to a company like Hearst."
  • AP: Hearst hopes Web-only Seattle P-I will turn profit
    "It [online-only PI] definitely can make money. They have a head start in terms of the brand and (Web) traffic. They have to run like hell to create a new identity."

What's On My Netvibes

  • Steve Goldstein
    Fellow KR alumnus Steve Goldstein understands the research/info needs of end-use enterprise customers, and he's built a company that is helping satisfy them.
  • Peter Krasilovsky
    Centered on e-commerce of all kinds from Yellow Pages through classifieds and new ad models.
  • Mark Potts
    Mark Potts is an experienced journalist, observer of Internet journalism and an alumnus of the Backfence experiment.
  • John Blossom
    Thoughtful views on a wide-ranging mix of media change.
  • Jay Rosen
    Jay Rosen is a provocateur in the best sense, an NYU journalism professor deeply committed to keeping the press accountable and vibrant in the digital age.
  • David Meerman Scott
    David Scott understands web marketing of digital content. Check out his site and his new book, "Cashing In With Content"
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July 09, 2008

L.A. Times: The Inconvenient Poster Child

Is the L.A. Times the new ground zero of newspaper staff cuts and frightsizing? Los Angelenos, of which I am one by nativity but not choice, may think so, imagining L.A. as the center of everybody's universe. It's not, of course, but the saga of the Times has been one of the more remarkable of the last decade and may be one good, if inconvenient, poster child of the debacle.

Tuesday, I was part of group talking about the Times, and how representative its tribulations are of the national newspaper malaise. The forum was KCRW's nationally syndicated "To the Point" program, hosted by veteran L.A. broadcaster Warren Olney. The topic: "Newspapers in Big Trouble: Should Americans Care?" Great question, if one incompletely answered.

While the web's a great sweeper-up of all news, it does miss quite a bit, including any kind of transcript coming out of public radio public interest programs. I believe these transcripts are produced -- and sold -- through media monitoring companies, but they are not available on the web. Hey Sergei and Larry, how about getting to all the world's info, like now? [Addendum to this point. A reader passes along that Everyzing, a voice-to-text translator company, offers a relevant free service. It's not quite a transcript -- lots of misspelled words, a little garbling -- but it's useful and does point to relevant time intervals in the broadcast. But we still need better.]

New York Times news trade reporter Richard Perez-Pena and I shared the hour with two L.A. Times editors, one current, one former, and one culture critic. There was a bit too much Internet-as-villain, but the program produced several statements worth passing on:

  • L.A. Times editor Russ Stanton, appointed in February into a job with the half-life of an amateur tiger trainer, believably said all the right things about reinventing the newsroom and the paper in light of the tough times and hard budgets. When Warren Olney asked him how much money the new 15% newsprint cut and 150 headcount cut in the newsroom would save, he was, unfortunately flummoxed. He said that the money people were more after heads than money anyways, which has a half-ring of truth. Money -- actual dollars -- saved is all Tribune and its bankers care about at the moment. Russ did offer these interesting metrics on advertising. He said print ads have an 80% margin, while online ads only have a 20% margin. Those are interesting numbers, ones that I haven't heard in all the discussions of dimes-instead-of-dollars, internet-compared-to-print monetization. Overall, I think Russ' expressed optimism is heroic, a captain against the tide of history. Like Janet Coats' Interactive Newsroom restructuring in Tampa, smart editors are really going about reinventing the craft. (Fascinating excursion into Tampa Tribune intern Jessica DaSilva’s blog post on Janet's restructuring (and layoff) talk to the newsroom, the reaction to it in the blogosphere and what it tells us about deeply rooted problems of the trade here by Jay Rosen, at PressThink.) The problem they face is that no near-term reinvention will produce a product that earns the money to pay their currently staffed newsrooms. Yes, they can build better reader-pleasing products that help ramp new revenues in the new medium, but we're talking a ramp of several years at least. The larger money problem is one that must be solved, in part, beyond the bounds of the newsroom, and even of the ad departments.
  • Culture critic Lee Siegel opined that journalists need to take a stand against the madness. He suggested Times staffers and other Tribuneites strike against Sam Zell. It was a bit "Cradle Will Rock"-like for me, stirring, but non-strategic. I think Sam would like nothing better than all those highly paid staffers walking out. God knows the Clear Channel guys would love to try programming the whole chain out of a low-cost center like upstate outstate (!) Minnesota or, in fact, Mumbai. It's a sad fact that solid, almost civil service-like professional middle class jobs in newsrooms are going away, being replaced by stringer-like arrangements that harken back to the beginning of the last century.
  • John Carroll, the Times' Pulitzer-prize-winning editor from 2000-2005, was asked by Olney whether his quite-public resignation over staff cuts had made a difference. "No," John answered directly, saying it did make him feel better. You could feel his pain when he said that he could have cut more had he seen a plan -- a strategy -- to a brighter future. Instead, he said, it was just a slow panic. Unfortunately, most editors have been there, and expected that someone above their pay grade had a plan. Slowly, the realization is dawning: behind the curtain, there's no wizard, just Dean Singleton, Sam Zell, Gary Pruitt, Arthur Sulzberger, Mary Junck and other CEOs stuck in the center of a currently unworkable Rubik's Cube.

We didn't much talk about it, but the Times has been quite a peculiar case. Yes, it's easy to lambaste the current cuts, but the Times' issues run so deep and so long. Some think of the old Tribune, last run by Dennis FitzSimons, as an ogre. In truth, though, Tribune management long took a halfway approach with the Times, pushing, but not to a conclusion that satisfied anyone. In buying Times Mirror for $8.2 billion in 2000, it saw real synergies it could achieve by melding old Tribune papers with the new ones.  It pushed on those synergies, but the Times culture pushed back. (It kind of reminds me of the battles between Knight Ridder CEO Tony Ridder and Pulitzer Prize-bound editors at the Philadelphia Inquirer.) Some battles won, some battles lost. Some misguided, others quite sensible.

In the end, though, few synergies were achieved and the parade of editors, publishers and ad VPs became comical. While the paper has consistently turned out some of the best journalism in the US, it has never made sense of its market or market strategy.

I've talked to a number of Times people, present and past. They agreed on the basic issue of an inconsistent strategy, and one described it most clearly:

 

When John [Carroll] and Dean [Baquet, then managing editor, now back at the New York Times] took over, they severely curtailed local reporting. They closed down most of the local zoned offices. They discontinued the Metro section and renamed it California. They eliminated a secondary zoned news insert produced by newer, less expensive journalists.

They threw the resources instead into national and foreign coverage.

At exactly the same moment, over those same years, [Publisher] John Puerner's crew was whacking circulation north and south and east of L.A. They thought it was
too expensive. They abandoned any pretense of a national edition.

So with all eyes wide open, the business model and circulation model became
LA-centric and the editorial model became national. The LA Times was trying to sell it's national-focused newspaper locally only.

The New York Times knows better....It is selling a national newspaper nationally.

The LA Times tried to sell a national newspaper locally only.

.

Again, it's easy to just blame Zell, or to decry the loss of Times' national and regional reporting, or to blame Old Tribune for its pressure on the Times. All are true, at least to an extent. Still, the newspaper didn't do what any newspaper business needs to do. Serve an audience, build a market. Connect the dots.

Yes, the L.A. Times is a convenient poster child for what's going so wrong in journalism, but it's a poster with a big asterisk affixed to it, one that only history will remember and one that's scant comfort to the Times staffers losing their jobs and the Times readers' seeing their paper ebb away.

More Content Bridges on Tribune, here

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On the margin issue:

Well, newspaper ads have 80 percent margins if you look purely at the incremental margin. In other words, it's the mythical "last ad sold," with no fixed costs counted against it, and no need to add additional pages to accept it. Still, it's a great margin, and why newspapers were so successful economically for so long: Take a page that may cost a mid-metro $2,000 to publish, sell it to a car-dealer or help-wanted advertiser for $20,000.

But online display ads have the same - or even more-favorable - economics. Production costs are low; sales commissions aren't outrageous (like in radio); on an incremental-margin basis, 85 to 90-percent margins are the norm.

Classified are different - in many cases, outside vendors like Monster, HotJobs, Cars.com or CareerBuilder can take 40 to 50 percent of the revenue. (But in many of those cases, like Cars.com and CB, the underlying vendor is owned by one or more newspaper companies, so the money trail gets a bit muddied.

On the broader point of "national paper, local audience," Ken is dead-on correct. That sort of disconnect certainly got worse during the John Carroll era, for all its worthy journalism.

But it's not new. I recently re-read this piece: http://www.ajr.org/article.asp?id=3126

The publishers change, the crisis du jour varies. But the fundamental disconnect between the L.A. Times newsroom and its business side (one's even tempted to say "the L.A. Times newsroom and the realities of the marketplace") remains the same.

"Interesting metrics" indeed about online advertising. We've all heard that $1 in print advertising REVENUE turns into somewhere bwetween $0.25 to $0.33 when it migrates online. But MARGINS shrink as well? Only explanation I can think of for online (as in no ink, paper, delivery trucks) media being less profitable than print is bloated overhead and poorly designed online operations. But then again, that's my explanation for the travails of the newspaper industry. Operating as effective monopolies for so long, they got fat and lazy and made a lot of money very easily. That's why they spent the last ten years trying to wish away the Internet because deep down they knew the party was going to end, and that it was going to end badly.

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